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The B2B Horserace:
Understanding Buyer Motivations in eMarkets

By Bill Zoellick
26 March 2001

Executive Summary

This article continues exploring the problems examined in eMarkets: Fixing What's BrokenIn that article, I argue that the B2B eMarket business concept is fundamentally sound, but that, in practice, eMarkets are failing to establish liquidity because they are not focusing on the full range of buyer needs.

But understanding, let alone satisfying, buyer needs is difficult.  In this article I argue that a significant part of the difficulty is that the buyer is not really a single entity, but reflects a variety of concerns that are properly the focus of different groups within the buying organization.  Worse, the different buyer motivations often conflict with each other and can even reflect different stages of market maturity -- all within a single company. Vendors and eMarketplaces trying to respond to all of the different buyer concerns risk satisfying none of them. The result is failure to ever establish a viable market position.

Though this problem is difficult, it is not unsolvable.  A successful approach to buyers in an emerging eMarket depends on separating out and understanding the different buyer motives.  Once you can identify the different concerns and requirements, you can focus on the ones that fit your company's offer.  You also need to develop strategies for staying out of trouble with the parts of the buying organization that have other needs. 


An engineer, a insurance actuary, and a mathematician went to the horse races one afternoon and placed their bets.  Things didn't go well for the engineer and actuary.  All three retired to the bar after the races to have a drink on the mathematician's winnings.  The engineer was bewildered.  "I don't understand.  I measured all the horses, calculated body mass and leverage, and thought I knew how they would run ..." 

"But you forgot to take variation over time into account," interrupted the actuary.  "I collected all the data about past races, and ..."

"So, how come you're broke?" said the engineer, not letting him finish.  As the mathematician bought another round for the house, the other two turned to him.  Clearly, here was a man who knew something about horses.  Could he at least give them a tip on picking winners?

Putting down his beer and leaning back against the bar, the mathematician began to explain his secret: "Well, first I assumed that all of the horses were identical, uniform, and perfectly spherical ..." 


Anybody that has been paying even a little attention to the business of B2B markets knows that it is a high-risk horse race.  There are all kinds of factors that make winning difficult: investors are wary, supplier catalogs are expensive to convert, buyers have complicated purchasing requirements, old habits die hard, and so on. 

In short, making an eMarket operation work is hard enough even if you are just dealing with the facts as they are.  

Unfortunately, a number of vendors, service providers, and eMarket operators take a difficult situation and make it much worse by starting with overly simple notions about what an eMarket is, much like the mathematician's "identical, uniform, and perfectly spherical" horses.  Unlike the mathematician, though, most of these people don't have a streak of good luck that makes their simple assumptions work out all right.  Assuming identical, uniform, perfectly spherical eMarkets, or anything like that, is a good way to end up needing someone else to buy your beer.  But companies do it anyway.

Nothing Simple About It

A little over a year ago, before the market for tech stocks tanked, back when everything looked simpler, I was helping an eMarket client by doing some business development work with an important buyer that the eMarket hoped to bring into the exchange.  My client had managed to get strong support from the executive level of this company, but we also needed buy-in on the purchasing side, since it would be the purchasing people who would be using the system day in and day out.

Consequently, my meeting was with the manager of the purchasing operations.  I had met with him before, and that first meeting was friendly but inconclusive.  He was more technically savvy than other purchasing managers I had called on and was clearly interested in hearing more about what my client was offering.  But, just a clearly, he wasn't the person to be making decisions about major shifts in the way that the company did business.  So, using my initial call as background, we had made our next call higher up in the company and came away with a strong vote of support from the VP of operations.  Now I was shuttling back to the purchasing manager to put some meat on the bones of this deal.

The purchasing manager did not report to the VP of Operations, but, instead, reported into the CFO.  So, I was now dealing with both sides of the company hierarchy -- operations on the one side and finance/purchasing on the other. As a consequence, I ended up with a meeting with two people at once, the purchasing manager of my earlier acquaintance and an operations counterpart from within the same office.  I wasn't sure quite what to make of this from a sales and closing standpoint -- yellow warning lights and concerns about the deal becoming complicated emerged in my mind -- but I wasn't in a position to pick my dance partners at this point.  So, I made the call with high hopes but also, to borrow Duke Ellington's phrase, with "both my ears twenty feet high."

It was a strange meeting. The purchasing manager seemed to have forgotten completely about our earlier conversation about the Internet and eMarkets.  He focused instead on some relatively obscure, difficult integration work between a number of the company's existing systems, asserting that this was the one thing that, if my client could do it, would deliver value.  It was clear that, with other segments of the company showing interest in our offer, the head of purchasing was going to set up some pretty high fences that would either keep me and my client out of his operation or that would keep us busy looking for ladders.

The operations person sat agreeably through the meeting and offered to walk me back to the front door.  I was busy trying to sort out the presentation from purchasing and, with that much going on in my head, figured that a guided tour back to reception would beat wandering among cubicles.  But rather than walking me out, he walked me over to his office, closed the door, and we started a second meeting.

Suddenly animated, the operations guy told me to ignore everything that the purchasing guy had said.  My client's offer did indeed fit into the plans on the operations side, and if the engineering and operations staff had their way, most of the purchasing staff would be out looking for work inside of two years.  Purchasing just didn't understand that what mattered was keeping the plant running, not saving dimes and nickels.  An eMarket could radically change the nature of the business' operations by tying the company more closely to suppliers.  He saw this opportunity, his boss saw it, but purchasing just didn't get it.  I should stay in touch.

Right.  And so I began thinking to myself about burn rate vs. sales cycle.  Just how long would it take to get this company to the point where it was doing substantial business in the eMarket?  What would it take to get them contributing to my client's liquidity?

A Year's Learning

Behind the dynamics of that call there was a logic at work that, had I been able to see it then, would have changed the approach that my client and I were taking to this particular prospect.  In fact, it changes the fundamental approach to building an eMarket.

What I have since learned from looking at many other companies, across different vertical markets, is that the division of interests between purchasing and operations that I encountered at this one company is typically present at most companies, though rarely in such an obvious, antagonistic form.  You can think of it as a difference between concern over breadth and concern over depth, putting the two points of view at right angles to each other, as shown in figure 1.

Opposing viewpoints of purchasing

Figure 1.  Opposing viewpoints of purchasing and operations

The top management in charge of purchasing is concerned about a broad array of different kinds of purchasing necessary to keep the company running. The details differ from industry to industry, of course.  In industries that depend on an investment in expensive, complex machinery and equipment (for example, airlines, high tech manufacturing, mining, shipping, railroads, construction, heavy manufacturing, telecommunications, and so on) the purchasing group may be concerned about managing the cost and flow of things such as fuel, provisions, consumables, white collar MRO supplies (pencils, light bulbs, floor wax, and so on), and a host of other things.  Along with all of these broad concerns, they will also focus on buying the spares and equipment necessary to keep the company's core operations running.

The engineering and operations staff within the buying organization has much narrower, more focused concerns.  They have to keep the planes, ships, trains, trucks, mills, presses, crushers, lasers, robots, and other equipment associated with the core business operation up and running so that there is product to sell, whatever it is.  In order to do this more effectively, engineering and operations builds close relationships with suppliers and distributors. They want to increase the likelihood that, when something breaks down, the supplier or a distributor will be there with the needed part, technical support, and even, if necessary, a person to do the repair.  The goal is to do what it takes to guarantee that expensive equipment is running and producing revenue.

The purchasing manager's concerns, then, are broad but thin.  He or she has to worry about a great many things, but those worries don't go very deeply into any area of the company's operations other than purchasing itself.  Success to the purchasing manager means keeping prices paid to suppliers as low as possible, within constraints of quality and service.  Success also means trying to minimize the cost of each purchase transaction.  Breadth is unavoidable -- it comes with the territory -- but thinner is better.  The holy grail is getting the best price on everything while spending no time at all on the transactions.

Engineering and operations sees the world very differently.  Saving a few dollars on a bearing when it means that an engine will have to be torn down for repairs sooner is penny wise and pound foolish, and these people have the expertise to make that judgment call.  Even more important, paying a bit more to create a strong reliable relationship with a supplier who will be able to help quickly when equipment breaks down just looks like good business.  A ship that is in port waiting for a part is losing $10,000 an hour.  A 360 ton haul truck waiting for repairs may be losing $60,000 for every load that it doesn't carry while sitting still.  

Given the substantial losses in revenue that occur when assets aren't able to be utilized, the engineering and operations staff is focused on problems that are narrow but deep.  The effect is to tie engineering and operations personnel more closely to suppliers than to the purchasing staff within their own organizations.  That is why, in figure 1, each of the different players in the equipment supply chain, from the OEM equipment supplier, through the distributor, and up to the technical buyer, are included in a single, continuous rectangle.

This understanding of the different viewpoints held by engineering and operations, on the one hand, and purchasing, on the other, puts my sales call of a year ago in a different light. When I encountered the antagonism between purchasing and operations, I was not just running into some weird political struggle that was going to get in the way of a sale.  I was, instead, confronting one of the fundamental tensions that surrounds purchasing in capital intensive businesses.  

My mistake at the time -- and the mistake that many eMarket businesses are still making today -- is like the mathematician's error at the horse race:  I was thinking of the buyer as having just a single point of view -- treating the different parts of the buying organization as "identical, uniform, and perfectly spherical."  Given all the usual focus in eMarkets on the tension between buyers and suppliers, this is an easy trap to fall into.  But it is a mistake that obscures the essential differences of viewpoint that an eMarket must understand and respond to if it hopes to achieve broad acceptance within a buying organization.

The Dimensions of ROE

Figure 1 suggests that the two key groups that an eMarket must satisfy within a buying organization have interests that do not run in parallel.  To use a fancy word, their viewpoints are "orthogonal:" they are at right angles to each other and can be viewed as so different as to be essentially independent from each other.  The independence is of course limited by the fact that they have to work together within the same organization, but, as my experience illustrates, the "working together" is strained by the inherent differences in objectives. 

The financial performance yardstick of "return on equity," or "ROE," provides eMarket practitioners with a nice way of understanding and working with the different viewpoints within the buying organization.  It solves the problem of showing how these fundamentally independent objectives can combine to reach a common corporate objective.

As the top line in figure 2 illustrates, ROE, at its most basic, is simply the ratio of Net Earnings, or the "return" from a company, to the company's Equity.  This simple equation becomes more analytically useful, however, when you break it into a set of independent factors, as figure 2 also illustrates.

Components of Return on Equity

Figure 2. Components of Return on Equity

The first factor, Net Earnings divided by Total Sales, is the conventional expression of a company's profit margin: of all the money that you received from customers, how much did you keep?  Generally speaking, there are two ways to improve margins.  One is to increase price, but competitive pressures typically limit the degree to which a company can do that before it begins to lose sales.  The other way is to decrease expenses relative to sales, so that the company gets to keep more of each dollar of sales. 

The purchasing managers are focused on improving margins. By keeping costs down, margins go up and ROE increases.

The second factor in the ROE equation is the proportion of Sales to Assets.  You can think of it as the number of dollars of sales achieved for each dollar of investment in assets. For an airline, this is a measure of the amount of customer revenue produced for each dollar invested in planes and other equipment.  For a mine it is the number of dollars of ore achieved for each dollar invested in mining claims and equipment.  In short, the second factor is a measure of asset utilization.

Asset utilization is what the engineering and operations managers worry about. Working the assets harder and more efficiently, squeezing more dollars of revenue out of the company's investment in property and equipment, is their way of improving ROE.

The third factor is a measure of the amount of debt that a company has.  Long term debt, at attractive rates, can be a very good thing, allowing the company to increase its asset base beyond what is available using investment from shareholders.  If those assets are making a lot of money, ROE goes up and everybody wins.  This third factor, however, is more a financial management issue than it is something that can be affected by eMarkets.

On the other hand, the first two factors, margin and asset utilization, are very much within the domain of eMarkets.  An eMarket can contribute to increased ROE by helping the purchasing department shave costs and increase margins.  Similarly, an eMarket can improve the ability of engineering and operations to collaborate closely with distributors and suppliers, thereby increasing asset utilization.  Both improvements contribute to ROE.  In fact, the effect is multiplicative.

One clear conclusion from this analysis is that the two groups in figure 1, purchasing and engineering/operations, see the world in different ways.  That is certainly part of the explanation for the very different responses I received when visiting that prospective eMarket participant a year or so ago.  The buyer in an eMarket is not one thing, identical, uniform, and perfectly spherical.

 Does it follow, then, that the way to respond to these different viewpoints is simply to develop different presentations for the two key constituents within the buying organization?  Unfortunately, it's not that simple.  To understand why, it is necessary to consider the pattern that markets and participating companies follow as they come to terms with the new opportunities opened up by eMarkets.


Next: Straddling the Chasm
 

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